Download America's Strategic Blunders: Intelligence Analysis and by Willard C. Matthias PDF

By Willard C. Matthias

This survey of greater than fifty years of nationwide safeguard coverage juxtaposes declassified U.S. nationwide intelligence estimates with lately published Soviet files disclosing the perspectives of Soviet leaders and their Communist allies at the similar occasions. Matthias exhibits that U.S. intelligence estimates have been frequently right yet that our political and army leaders commonly missed them—with occasionally disastrous effects. The publication starts with a glance again on the function of U.S. intelligence in the course of global battle II, from Pearl Harbor during the plot opposed to Hitler and the D-Day invasion to the "unconditional quit" of Japan, and divulges how higher use of the intelligence on hand may have stored many lives and shortened the conflict. the next chapters facing the chilly battle divulge what details and recommendation U.S. intelligence analysts handed directly to policymakers, and likewise what occasionally sour coverage debates happened in the Communist camp, relating Vietnam, the Bay of Pigs, the Cuban missile concern, the turmoil in jap Europe, the Six-Day and Yom Kippur wars within the center East, and the Soviet intervention in Afganistan. in lots of methods, it is a tale of ignored possibilities the U.S. executive needed to behavior a extra liable international coverage which may have refrained from huge losses of lifestyles and big expenses on fingers buildups. whereas no longer exonerating the CIA for its personal error, Matthias casts new mild at the contributions that goal intelligence research did make throughout the chilly warfare and speculates on what may need occurred if that evaluation and suggestion were heeded.

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Additional resources for America's Strategic Blunders: Intelligence Analysis and National Security Policy, 1936-1991

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Cited in Eisenhower, Eisenhower at War, 908 n. 407. 61. Cited by Liddell Hart, History of the Second World War, 551. 62. Lewin, Ultra Goes to War, 341–42. 40 A m e r i c a ’s S t r a t e g i c B l u n d e r s I do not believe that any definitive judgment about Kluge’s intention can be drawn from Lewin’s affirmation that no approaches were made to Eisenhower and the others. How could an approach have been made to commanders who apparently had no knowledge of the plotter’s plans and who had no instructions about how to treat with any German commander who might offer to surrender?

Those were some of the questions which the new intelligence system was designed to answer. ” I, for one, went back to the history books to take a new look at the Russian Revolution. I carefully watched the postwar world unfold from my privileged position as editor of the daily (Ultra) Diplomatic Summary. It was distressing to see the successful wartime alliance disintegrate into wrangling and distrust. Early Postwar Judgments on the Soviet Threat There were those who quickly concluded that the Soviets were bound and determined to move aggressively toward a world dominated by the USSR and to do it by force if necessary.

A concept of warfare that had shifted away from the Clausewitzian doctrine (continuation of diplomacy by other means) to one emphasizing societal destruction, punishment, and total “victory” regardless of human cost. If there is any one clear lesson to be learned from the final months of the European and Pacific wars, it is that a better doctrine for the conduct of war needs to be formulated. ” If there can be an acceptable doctrine for the conduct of war, it must be to change the policies and/or the leaders of one’s enemy and in that process to minimize human casualties and to maximize the potential for change within the enemy nation.

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